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Summer Vs Zeus NFL Picks season 2, week 2
4 years ago
Welcome to the weekly journal entry where I match NFL-knowing against a friend of mine. What we'll be doing each week is picking our three sure-thing against the spread bets of the week, whoever does better that week gets a point and if we tie no one gets a point. If you're unfamiliar with the concept, a point spread is the margin of victory that Las Vegas oddsmakers determine the favorite will win by. In order to "cover the spread" a team favored to win by 4 points would have to win by 5 or more. Should they prevail in the real life game by 3 or less in that scenario, the underdog would be considered the winner. This concept applies to whatever the number assigned to the favorite is, on a game by game basis.
Current score:
0 
0 Week 1 was a double-bust, we both went 1 right 2 wrong. No point awarded.
Week 1 is a difficult week because you're basically trying to weigh how accurate the hype and projections were for each team. Week 2 is almost equally difficult because you're now using a small sample size of real life data to judge which team is legit good or legit bad enough in the context of the spread. For example, Cleveland looked good in defeat to the Chiefs and are now 13 point favorites against Houston. I ain't touching that. Cleveland will probably win, sure, but I'm not confident enough in the good/bad scale to expect a blowout.
Pick 1
Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) to defeat Minnesota Vikings
I don't have a long rambling justification for this pick. I just feel that a team that was good enough to go on the road and beat an expected playoff contender will be comfortable in dispatching with a team bad enough to collapse and lose to an expected bottom 5 team.
RESULT: Arizona 34 (-3.5 = 30.5) Minnesota 33 - WRONG
Pick 2
Dallas +3 to defeat LA Chargers
This is a weird one. Too early in the season for traps and fixed results, but.... the spread doesn't reflect what I saw with my own eyes in week 1. Dallas played well in defeat at Tampa, on a very big stage, and had a very good chance of winning straight up as 6 point underdogs. The Chargers, frankly, eeked out a win after knocking the WFT's starting quarterback out of the game. I expect Dallas to straight up win this game, and the +3 will protect me from a 1 or 2 point squeaker.
RESULT: Dallas 20 (+3) LA Chargers 17 - CORRECT
Pick 3
LA Rams -3.5 to defeat Indianapolis Colts
I would just love it if the Colts got off to a really rocky start. Last year they posed as contenders by bringing in an aged Quiverfull Movement non-cussin' freak Phillip Rivers, and after he retired they promptly went and brought in loud redneck signaler Carson Wentz. Carson always struck me as a phony, I don't know...fuck him anyway. Fuck the Colts too. They put a bad taste in my mouth and I can't explain why. LAR looked sorta real-dealish last week, so maybe a 4 point victory isn't too much to ask for.
RESULT: LA Rams 27 (-3.5 = 23.5) Colts 24 - WRONG
PonePicks: https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/9991824/
Cardinals -3.5 > Vikings NO
Titans +6.5 > Seahawks YES
Bears -2.5 > Bengals YES
A tragedy for Summer. I still havne't gotten on track but Zeus went 2-1. Pone takes the point this week and with it a 1-0 lead on the season.
GO BILLS!
Current score:
0 
0 Week 1 was a double-bust, we both went 1 right 2 wrong. No point awarded.Week 1 is a difficult week because you're basically trying to weigh how accurate the hype and projections were for each team. Week 2 is almost equally difficult because you're now using a small sample size of real life data to judge which team is legit good or legit bad enough in the context of the spread. For example, Cleveland looked good in defeat to the Chiefs and are now 13 point favorites against Houston. I ain't touching that. Cleveland will probably win, sure, but I'm not confident enough in the good/bad scale to expect a blowout.
Pick 1
Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) to defeat Minnesota Vikings
I don't have a long rambling justification for this pick. I just feel that a team that was good enough to go on the road and beat an expected playoff contender will be comfortable in dispatching with a team bad enough to collapse and lose to an expected bottom 5 team.
RESULT: Arizona 34 (-3.5 = 30.5) Minnesota 33 - WRONG
Pick 2
Dallas +3 to defeat LA Chargers
This is a weird one. Too early in the season for traps and fixed results, but.... the spread doesn't reflect what I saw with my own eyes in week 1. Dallas played well in defeat at Tampa, on a very big stage, and had a very good chance of winning straight up as 6 point underdogs. The Chargers, frankly, eeked out a win after knocking the WFT's starting quarterback out of the game. I expect Dallas to straight up win this game, and the +3 will protect me from a 1 or 2 point squeaker.
RESULT: Dallas 20 (+3) LA Chargers 17 - CORRECT
Pick 3
LA Rams -3.5 to defeat Indianapolis Colts
I would just love it if the Colts got off to a really rocky start. Last year they posed as contenders by bringing in an aged Quiverfull Movement non-cussin' freak Phillip Rivers, and after he retired they promptly went and brought in loud redneck signaler Carson Wentz. Carson always struck me as a phony, I don't know...fuck him anyway. Fuck the Colts too. They put a bad taste in my mouth and I can't explain why. LAR looked sorta real-dealish last week, so maybe a 4 point victory isn't too much to ask for.
RESULT: LA Rams 27 (-3.5 = 23.5) Colts 24 - WRONG
PonePicks: https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/9991824/
Cardinals -3.5 > Vikings NO
Titans +6.5 > Seahawks YES
Bears -2.5 > Bengals YES
A tragedy for Summer. I still havne't gotten on track but Zeus went 2-1. Pone takes the point this week and with it a 1-0 lead on the season.
GO BILLS!
TRAIN
~train
Weird stuff going on in the NFL.
