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Ukraine - 5 months of brutal war (info)
3 years ago
🇺🇦Ukraine - 5 months of brutal war🇷🇺
It has been five months since 24 February 2022, when FurAffinity suddenly got an avalanche of new Journals (and more than a few artworks) saying "OMG we're being bombed", and the 5-month-old so-called "Special Military Operation" (aka: scenic tour in armored vehicles searching for millions of mysteriously missing artillery shells, invasion, war, war of aggression, attempted destruction of an independent sovereign Ukrainian state) is still going on and I am still writing one of these "War Journals" on the 24th of every month. I will try to do something special next month on 24 August 2022 for the 6 month anniversary of the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
As I have done for the last few months, here are some links to help highlight the victims of this five month (or eight and a half year, if you prefer) brutal war of aggression and terror and what you can do to help them. Some of things you can do are free and VERY easy, like just Watching someone or giving them a nice Comment or a "signal boost"!
NOTEWORTHY needs (circa 24 July):
Front-line and second-line regions:-- Donbas: AbyssalSirenART , kiyomipie , ShinigamiTF , ToriSan , LostDanver , StasyKi , ghost738589 , ... just go look here
-- South: Karintina , AlexandraDane , ~RIZONIK~ , Toshik22 , Terri_Sneak , GhostlyDog , LesterShmester , DxM8 , Felixlox , ... just go look here
-- Others: AnnoyingSOAP , Remontadora , Rogatich , softLesbean , Castycom , F43filipp , groodger , ugh_del , Vizelius , YunnyLynx
Safer regions:
-- Central & Western job problems: Dogava , LiaItsuki , RemJ , LiS7x , INGVAS
-- Kyiv job problems: LittlePudel , Lucky_Lantern , April_Ryan , Aria_Lenin , kunYKA , andr0meda
-- Out of country: Varness-Crowe , michi-nii , xicel , --The_Kraken-- , ashwoodoff , MistMiav & Yanosha
REGIONAL FOCUS journals:
Links to the six Ukraine regional focus Journals:https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10264842/ -- Kyiv region Ukraine artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10246683/ -- NE & East-Center Ukraine artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10225029/ -- Kharkiv/Kharkov region artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10203165/ -- Donbas/Donbass region artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10230885/ -- Southern Ukraine region artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10255501/ -- Central & Western Ukraine artists, furries, and stories on FurAffinity
Tell me if you want to be listed in one of them or want the text on your line changed.
BIG JOURNAL (with a list of Ukrainian artists in need):
https://www.furaffinity.net/journal/10138995/ -- irregularly updated list of artists/furries from 🇺🇦Ukraine🇺🇦 that need help or support*
* a 'signal boost' for those in need or offering some warm words of support would be nice
Some searches:
https://www.furaffinity.net/search/.....aine|Ukrainian <-- general search for Ukraine or Ukrainian things
https://www.furaffinity.net/search/.....krainianartist <-- similar keyword search
https://www.furaffinity.net/search/.....iv|Volyn|Rivne <-- search of doom (includes lots of Ukrainian oblast and city names).
War status:
By 24 July 2022, the most significant change in the last month is the fall/liberation of the twin cities of Severodonetsk & Lysychansk. The front line still extends ~2,450 kilometers (1,522 miles) from the city of Kharkiv in the northeast to the city of Mykolaiv in the south and has been changing only very slowly, with Russia losing a bit of ground at the ends of the line (near Kharkiv and near Mykolaiv/Kherson) and gaining a bit in the middle near Severodonetsk & Lysychansk. Here is a list of villages, towns and cities near the 'front line' fighting (which has not changed much in a month): Kharkiv (Udy, Ruski Tyshki, and Ternova are a few village/town names); Vovchans'k (town on the Russian border, 60km NE of Kharkiv, on the E bank of the Siverskyi-Donets River, 2021 est. population 17,747) [Russian controlled transportation/logistics route]; Izyum [Russian held, the forward headquarters of its operations to conquer Donbas]; Severodonetsk/Lysychansk [Severodonetsk is Russian/LPR held since 26 June, while its foxy sister city Lysychansk was captured by Russian forces on 2 July]; Popasna (a town <formerly> of ~20,000 people) [destroyed & the ruins taken by Russia ~8 May] --> these 3 names have been replaced by places like Barvinkove, Slovyansk, Siversk, and Bakhmut; Horlivka [DPR controlled since 2014]; Toretsk & New York [UA controlled towns just a couple kilometers from Horlivka]; Donetsk [DPR controlled since 2014]; Huliaipole [UA]; Polohy [Russian-controlled]; Zaporizhzhia [UA, safe(ish)]; Nikopol' [UA, fighting nearby but safe(ish)]; Kyrvyi Rih [UA, safe(ish)], Mykolaiv [UA, has been hit with Russian missiles every day for weeks during July, with recent attacks reportedly using S-300 anti-air missiles], Odessa [UA, not under direct attack while Mykolaiv stands, but still gets regularly hit by cruise missiles and now anti-ship missiles because the Russian military is apparently running out of precision land-attack cruise missiles -- maybe in another 3 months they will be firing spit-wads at it]. Ukraine intelligence estimates Russian has expended 55-60% of its pre-war stock of high precision munitions [sources CNN or ISW who are both repeating Ukrainian intel reports]. On 30 June 2022, Russia announced that it had withdrawn troops from Snake Island in a "gesture of goodwill" after military objectives were complete.
The assessment/opinion of the ISW (a US-based think tank often quoted by western media) is that the Russian offensive is almost out of steam/gas/energy/momentum*:
*(pick your word, the military technical term is 'culminate')
28 May: "When the Battle of Severodonetsk ends, regardless of which side holds the city, the Russian offensive at the operational and strategic levels will likely have culminated, giving Ukraine the chance to restart its operational-level counteroffensives to push Russian forces back." - from the May 28 ISW report
...
20 July: "The current Russian offensive may secure limited additional territorial gains in Donbas northeast of the E40 highway but will likely culminate before seizing major populated areas such as Slovyansk or Bakhmut." - from the July 20 ISW report
Followup comments:
21 July: "The lack of successful ground attacks beyond the Slovyansk, Siversk, and Bakhmut areas is consistent with ISW’s assessment that the Russian offensive is likely to culminate without capturing Slovyansk or Bakhmut." - from July 21 ISW report
Perhaps by next month the grinding Russian offensive will have finally stalled/culminated and the tempo of the war will be winding down with Russia considering making some more "gestures of goodwill" (like ending their northern offensive on Kyiv in early April or evacuating their troops from Snake Island on June 30), perhaps withdrawing from the territory west of the Dnipro river or even Kherson, and the chances of a Russian soldier eventually returning home alive and healthy will thus be improving. Or perhaps Russia will start mass conscription to generate fresh combat power with the intent to crush all Ukrainian resistance west of the Dnipro. Only time will tell, I certainly have no special insight into when/how/if this
Ukraine defense spokesperson says an estimated 70% of Russian attacks are on non-military targets
"Ukraine’s defense ministry spokesperson says up to 70% of Russian missile strikes are on peaceful cities and non-military targets. Oleksandr Motuzyanyk said on Friday only 30% of Russian missile strikes are on military targets."
as reported here on CNN on 15 July (possible alternate title: "Ukraine defense spokesperson admits at least 30% of Russian missile strikes are on military targets.")
Krëmlïᴎ spokesperson says at least 130% of rush-in army attacks are on military objects
"Zë are going slowly and cautiously and getting greater than 100% combat effectiveness with no losses to our own special military operation forces. All photos of destroyed apartment buildings, kindergartens, schools, universities, hospitals, churches, monasteries, resorts, restaurants, theaters, railway stations, crowded shopping malls and homeless pet adoption facilities are staged or were done by enemy Not-Zë artillery or rockets but they sometimes miss their civilian targets and hit other enemy army units, adding 30% to our own units' effectiveness. None of our own soldiers have ever committed a war crime, in fact Zë don't even know what "war crimes" means. Any territory Zë do not control is a gesture of our goodwill. Sanctions are having no effect. Zë expect total victory any year now. Mandatory military service age to be reduced to fifteen. Excellent signing bonus for new military contacts for men over age 50 -- no military experience or criminal background check needed. Big bonuses for T-55 or Yak-9 experience. Wealth to the oligarchs and glory to the eternal Pütïn regime! Will you release my daughter now?"
as reported nowhere, certainly not on RT in late 2023 or the Onion (ok, maybe this is just humor and sarcasm, my profile page does warn about caustic sarcasm)
If you want to create an artwork to illustrate either "news article" above, please make a suggestion/proposal; I have budgeted some money for this purpose. If you want to write a humorous "news article" like the one above and post it on your own FA account (a Journal or an appropriate artwork), I will consider including a link to it here (no matter which side it pokes fun at, but it does need to be actually silly rather than real propaganda, ideally by exaggerating all sides' narratives or propaganda to ludicrous levels).
On August 24, we also celebrate State Independence Day! 🎉