The Vietnamization of Afghanistan (or, why we lost long ago)
12 years ago
Around 2009 or-so, the cat was out of the bag that Afghanistan's military and police were hopelessly corrupt and incompetent;
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2009.....1821260383357/
http://www.stripes.com/news/troops-.....forces-1.97195
http://www.counterpunch.org/2009/11.....r-afghan-ally/
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/21/w.....ml?hp&_r=0
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-sou.....-asia-11557781
http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/.....ghan-soldiers/
In about 6 minutes and 30 seconds, this video condenses everything in the articles linked above into a single peephole into the Afghan quagmire;
It also didn't help that the US government wasn't exatcly a sterling role model...;
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/201.....unds-wikileaks
http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/.....data-show?lite
http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/201...../sff1-m16.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/....._n_277532.html
http://kabulpress.org/my/spip.php?article108976
http://www.militarycorruption.com/
Oh, and the drug problem mentioned in 2009? About that...;
"All of that was years ago, so it MUST have gotten better!", you say? No --- it's gotten far, far worse, and every indication is that the worst is yet to come;
Does all this sound familiar? It should, because we've done it all before. Back then, it was called "Vietnamization";
http://thevietnamwar.info/what-was-.....zation-policy/
Corruption, incompetence, and all manner of misconduct was rampant in South Vietnam during that war as well, and was slowly destroying that nation from the inside out...;
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ngo_Dinh_Diem
http://www.vietnamwar.net/ARVN.htm
http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/jmh/su......4andrade.html
...just as it was in the US military, as well;
http://www.gradesaver.com/the-thing.....uide/section9/
http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/01/healt.....-test-subjects
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ike_Atkinson
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/vietna.....es/my_lai.html
http://everything2.com/title/Zippo+Raid
During the Vietnam War, Colonel David H. Hackworth broke ranks and stated in a 1971 news interview that the North Vietnamese flag would fly over Saigon within 4 years. He was dead-on;
http://www.hackworth.com/biography.html
It's long overdue for someone to make the same prognosis for Afghanistan. It's often alluded to by those who know what actually happens over there (and is wise enough to discern what matters in the long term, from what doesn't), but to date I've never seen anyone show enough backbone to say it how it is, and this needs to be done. So, I'll be the first.
By 2020, Afghanistan will once again be;
- Controlled the the Taliban.
- A brutal, mass-murdering dictatorship.
- A "terrorist factory", that funds, trains, and equips terrorists to murder countless thousands all over the world.
- So politically embarrassing taboo for the US government, that we will allow it to grow and fester like an untreated tumor.
- A safe haven for said terrorists, because the US military won't try to oust the Taliban with another invasion, for obvious reasons.
If I'm right, tell everyone you heard it from me first. If I'm wrong...
...well, let's all HOPE I'm wrong.
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2009.....1821260383357/
http://www.stripes.com/news/troops-.....forces-1.97195
http://www.counterpunch.org/2009/11.....r-afghan-ally/
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/21/w.....ml?hp&_r=0
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-sou.....-asia-11557781
http://hotair.com/archives/2009/12/.....ghan-soldiers/
In about 6 minutes and 30 seconds, this video condenses everything in the articles linked above into a single peephole into the Afghan quagmire;
It also didn't help that the US government wasn't exatcly a sterling role model...;
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/201.....unds-wikileaks
http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/.....data-show?lite
http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/201...../sff1-m16.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/....._n_277532.html
http://kabulpress.org/my/spip.php?article108976
http://www.militarycorruption.com/
Oh, and the drug problem mentioned in 2009? About that...;
"All of that was years ago, so it MUST have gotten better!", you say? No --- it's gotten far, far worse, and every indication is that the worst is yet to come;
Does all this sound familiar? It should, because we've done it all before. Back then, it was called "Vietnamization";
http://thevietnamwar.info/what-was-.....zation-policy/
Corruption, incompetence, and all manner of misconduct was rampant in South Vietnam during that war as well, and was slowly destroying that nation from the inside out...;
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ngo_Dinh_Diem
http://www.vietnamwar.net/ARVN.htm
http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/jmh/su......4andrade.html
...just as it was in the US military, as well;
http://www.gradesaver.com/the-thing.....uide/section9/
http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/01/healt.....-test-subjects
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ike_Atkinson
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/vietna.....es/my_lai.html
http://everything2.com/title/Zippo+Raid
During the Vietnam War, Colonel David H. Hackworth broke ranks and stated in a 1971 news interview that the North Vietnamese flag would fly over Saigon within 4 years. He was dead-on;
http://www.hackworth.com/biography.html
It's long overdue for someone to make the same prognosis for Afghanistan. It's often alluded to by those who know what actually happens over there (and is wise enough to discern what matters in the long term, from what doesn't), but to date I've never seen anyone show enough backbone to say it how it is, and this needs to be done. So, I'll be the first.
By 2020, Afghanistan will once again be;
- Controlled the the Taliban.
- A brutal, mass-murdering dictatorship.
- A "terrorist factory", that funds, trains, and equips terrorists to murder countless thousands all over the world.
- So politically embarrassing taboo for the US government, that we will allow it to grow and fester like an untreated tumor.
- A safe haven for said terrorists, because the US military won't try to oust the Taliban with another invasion, for obvious reasons.
If I'm right, tell everyone you heard it from me first. If I'm wrong...
...well, let's all HOPE I'm wrong.
It's the exact opposite of 'Get out of Afganistan,' but it's either that, get a UN coalition to run the country, or leave a bad situation to get worse.
The combination of a de-facto announcement of retreat and the dismal state of the Afghan military (and if you think THEY'RE in a bad situation, try the police!), we're pretty much screwed.
The Taliban and/or Al Qaeda might win, but the US military won't. It's all the screw-ups and their consequences from the 1990s all over again.
I can't help but wonder if the next war is going to be even worse, with the US military spoiled rotten on fighting frivolous wars without concern for winning...