iron-k has put his new story up and announced his winner. I won't spoil the ending for anyone reading who might be entered. Check it out here:

http://www.furaffinity.net/view/20892430/

If you're a fan of 90s style messy game show or Sonic the Hedgehog, it's worth taking a look. If you've entered, I say read the story to find out if you won. It's really like watching a game show where you entered to win a prize.

Over the course of 3 days, 22 people entered the contest. Here was everyone's odds:

1.  darknessfalls (9.66%)

2.  hdialer (7.41%)

3.  darkblitz (6.45%)

4.  varment (6.37%)

5.  antoneth (6.08%)

6.  truidiot (5.04%)

7.  whatamess (4.95%)

8.  heartlinedai (4.87%)

9.  demthefoxwolf (4.79%)

10.  duskcheetah (4.58%)

11.  delphbunny (4.54%)

12.  arbapew (4.16%)

13.  bbwolfie (4.08%)

14.  spikepapp (3.54%)

14.  susi (3.54%)

16.  scani (3.29%)

17.  sagemane (3.25%)

18.  thedisposableone (3.16%)

19.  robshi (2.71%)

20.  fyrefennec (2.62%)

21.  vairos (2.58%)

22.  rencat (2.33%)

To put this into perspective,  darknessfalls is four times more likely to win than  rencat.

So, why the difference? Because we're looking for the closest number. When we guess, we're essentially claiming "territory". The best strategy is to find the largest chunk of territory, stake your claim, and then hope that no one cuts into your territory.

One of interesting thing I noticed is that people tended to guess close to the center. A regression shows that 42% of a contestant's share of "territory" can be attributed to distance from the center. So, if you have several equally good numbers go bigger or smaller.