Current future predictions
6 years ago
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I can't say anything concrete because there's too much moving too quickly, but here's some best guesses:
By 2031 self driving cars, self flying transport, etc are a commonplace thing. The rate of accidents and collisions plummets as these machines learn from each other, all at once.
By 2022 we have AI that can learn anything and use that knowledge, mostly tested on games but some practical application in real life begins here. This isn't human level intelligent yet, that classification shifts to require the same physical space as a human brain, then shifts to require less than the amount of energy the human brain needs. These advancements come about by 2030, resulting in personal computers worth $1000 that are smarter than their owners by 2040.
By 2022 research progresses in leaps and bounds as AI starts taking on challenges humanity has never fully solved. By 2030 all nations have gone through or are going through an industrial revolution, increasing the need for real solutions to global warming and pollution. We start seeing more advanced nations being held responsible for not stepping in and providing their tech to solve these issues.
By 2025 we see solar panels change how power companies function globally, switching to power storage as opposed to power generation as the market for electricity starts to collapse, with nations trying to get their neighbors to buy the electricity they don't use. Nations that rely on the sale of fossil fuels keep fighting against this until 2030.
By 2045 the first space based asteroid mining operations come online, shipping material to earth or creating parts for space-based civilizations in the first mega-project humanity takes on. Thanks to human level AI this project is done with minimal human involvement, reducing the costs down to the initial launches, the monitoring systems to ensure all goes well, and the time it takes to create either more parts or more bots to make more parts faster. Depending on this, the project might take a century or more to complete.
By 2030 we have bots on mars setting up bases and platforms for humans to live inside, reducing the risks once humans set foot on the planet. By 2040 we have bots that try to alter the planet to make it more hospitable to future life there, possibly finding a way to re-start the magnetic core before humans land there.
By 2025 we have a device that lets us write, click, and interact with software with our mind rather than our fingers. By 2030 the worst problems with the system are ironed out and only a few people continue to use computer mice. Keyboards last until the system can both know what you wanted to say, and immediately correct things when you notice or realize an error, cutting down writing time massively.
By 2035 we have the ability to think of something, and someone else knows what we thought if we want them to know. By 2040-2045 this tech becomes a necessity for larger businesses as it makes them as competitive and quick to react as much smaller organizations. Vocal communication becomes yet another form of entertainment and exercise, similar to walking.
By 2030 many cures for genetic disorders have cures, we start wiping out the worst ones one after another. Eventually we cure cancer, heart disease, alzheimers, and by 2040 we extend the human lifespan average by several decades with these cures alone. We develop a cure for most of the effects of aging by 2030, people retain their youth or become more youthful after treatment. By 2035 older generations start caring about things like global warming more, now that they will live long enough to see the worst of it and are beginning to experience some of it.
By 2035 entertainment becomes the most common job globally. There's a heavy emphasis on simulation tech, combined with mind reading tech and a personal AI on par with human intelligence, that guarantees each person enjoys the retirement of the human species. After thousands of years of struggle, self sacrifice, and hope for a better future, I think we've earned it. Still, like the walmart greeter, we might grow bored and do the work we used to do, for a little while.
By 2045 the human species would have a hard time arguing the past was better than the present. The internet has become its own sapient entity that connects the minds of all humans, stores information that now behaves like it's our own memories, meaning every human is now an expert in all fields regardless of who they are or where they come from. Without jobs to do, humanity instead points info-gathering AI at the parts of the universe we don't understand yet, and tell them to go fetch it. The nature of civilization is dramatically altered as our intelligence is improved and we become a unified whole, our only purpose being to live a meaningful life when we can't rely on 9-5 jobs washing dishes to give us that meaning any more. Humans sometimes wonder if they're the first person to have said something a certain way, after 2045 we would know exactly what hasn't been done yet, and then we would do it.
By 2031 self driving cars, self flying transport, etc are a commonplace thing. The rate of accidents and collisions plummets as these machines learn from each other, all at once.
By 2022 we have AI that can learn anything and use that knowledge, mostly tested on games but some practical application in real life begins here. This isn't human level intelligent yet, that classification shifts to require the same physical space as a human brain, then shifts to require less than the amount of energy the human brain needs. These advancements come about by 2030, resulting in personal computers worth $1000 that are smarter than their owners by 2040.
By 2022 research progresses in leaps and bounds as AI starts taking on challenges humanity has never fully solved. By 2030 all nations have gone through or are going through an industrial revolution, increasing the need for real solutions to global warming and pollution. We start seeing more advanced nations being held responsible for not stepping in and providing their tech to solve these issues.
By 2025 we see solar panels change how power companies function globally, switching to power storage as opposed to power generation as the market for electricity starts to collapse, with nations trying to get their neighbors to buy the electricity they don't use. Nations that rely on the sale of fossil fuels keep fighting against this until 2030.
By 2045 the first space based asteroid mining operations come online, shipping material to earth or creating parts for space-based civilizations in the first mega-project humanity takes on. Thanks to human level AI this project is done with minimal human involvement, reducing the costs down to the initial launches, the monitoring systems to ensure all goes well, and the time it takes to create either more parts or more bots to make more parts faster. Depending on this, the project might take a century or more to complete.
By 2030 we have bots on mars setting up bases and platforms for humans to live inside, reducing the risks once humans set foot on the planet. By 2040 we have bots that try to alter the planet to make it more hospitable to future life there, possibly finding a way to re-start the magnetic core before humans land there.
By 2025 we have a device that lets us write, click, and interact with software with our mind rather than our fingers. By 2030 the worst problems with the system are ironed out and only a few people continue to use computer mice. Keyboards last until the system can both know what you wanted to say, and immediately correct things when you notice or realize an error, cutting down writing time massively.
By 2035 we have the ability to think of something, and someone else knows what we thought if we want them to know. By 2040-2045 this tech becomes a necessity for larger businesses as it makes them as competitive and quick to react as much smaller organizations. Vocal communication becomes yet another form of entertainment and exercise, similar to walking.
By 2030 many cures for genetic disorders have cures, we start wiping out the worst ones one after another. Eventually we cure cancer, heart disease, alzheimers, and by 2040 we extend the human lifespan average by several decades with these cures alone. We develop a cure for most of the effects of aging by 2030, people retain their youth or become more youthful after treatment. By 2035 older generations start caring about things like global warming more, now that they will live long enough to see the worst of it and are beginning to experience some of it.
By 2035 entertainment becomes the most common job globally. There's a heavy emphasis on simulation tech, combined with mind reading tech and a personal AI on par with human intelligence, that guarantees each person enjoys the retirement of the human species. After thousands of years of struggle, self sacrifice, and hope for a better future, I think we've earned it. Still, like the walmart greeter, we might grow bored and do the work we used to do, for a little while.
By 2045 the human species would have a hard time arguing the past was better than the present. The internet has become its own sapient entity that connects the minds of all humans, stores information that now behaves like it's our own memories, meaning every human is now an expert in all fields regardless of who they are or where they come from. Without jobs to do, humanity instead points info-gathering AI at the parts of the universe we don't understand yet, and tell them to go fetch it. The nature of civilization is dramatically altered as our intelligence is improved and we become a unified whole, our only purpose being to live a meaningful life when we can't rely on 9-5 jobs washing dishes to give us that meaning any more. Humans sometimes wonder if they're the first person to have said something a certain way, after 2045 we would know exactly what hasn't been done yet, and then we would do it.
My main argument against it is that humanity as a whole doesn't seem to know, acknowledge, or, in the current era, be willing to fight for (effectively as a whole, as opposed to piecemeal) what's good for it. This, and it doesn't take into account good old human greed and corruption, especially at the level of medical technology. I am reasonably certain that there are already a significant number of cures out there, but they've been left by the wayside and, in some few cases more than likely actively suppressed. In other cases, priced out of the range for anyone to ever get even a single dose unless one is disgustingly rich (there was a drug I'd have to find the listing for though there's an article on it in BBC news where a single dose was valued at one million dollars, and now is no longer in existence due to a) expiry and b) no-one able to buy it.). "Big Pharma" makes their money not providing cures but treatments, mitigating the problem over a long term for endless profit with no solution. Unless someone or something actively takes down these various entities (among others), they will continue to exert extreme sociopolitical pull through their ability to influence our policy and politics on a global scale. The worst thing is they are one drop in a much much larger bucket, and I fear we shan't be free of them without essentially dismantling our economy at the deepest level.
I agree that the TECHNOLOGY might proceed where you're seeing it on many points (though I'm shaky on the mind interface end of things at this point), though I find the social aspects highly unlikely to come about more due to human greed and nature.
Anyways, my best argument is that if they try to put in too much pressure to stop it, there's gonna be countries willing to take advantage of the massive hole in the market and push forward anyways. Either companies hold a country back and in the process weaken their own industry on the global stage, or they allow just enough to stay competitive, which is still enough to break the dam. There's no other options, the future is coming.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lA77zsJ31nA , And you're free to your opinions on this, I'm pretty certain nothing I could imagine gets close to what we'll really have, it's probable everything here will happen sooner than I think as well. While I'm not 100% sure of the societal impacts, I'm still certain of the technological leaps we're going to make.
If personal harm could save billions of future lives, with certainty, I'd volunteer in a heartbeat. Those twins have an uncertain future, but the medical community is going to keep a very close eye on their health for years to come. Their fame is going to cause more harm than whatever the changes might cause, that much is certain. Look at how fast the paper claiming they would die young was debunked, and by how many people.
Gravity is always going to exist.
Everything will always break down. ALWAYS. There isn't going to be any flying car that won't just stop operating. Ever.
When a car breaks down, it just stops. When a flying car breaks down, gravity takes over, and the car's occupants die. Also likely several others and a lot of property damage.
That's why I don't believe in a lot of these futurism predictions -- they take an optimistic look of the future as a place where things work. Things ain't ever going to just work. There will always be laziness, there will always be corner cutting.
https://twitter.com/LilithLovett/st.....28780154658817
Wanting to keep a disability within society would fall under no change, but because these cures are becoming real things the belief it can't be cured is switching from being truth into being a falsehood. I wonder how many of these people were deaf but now have experience hearing before they made their decision about whether this needs to stop. It's the same as dying of old age, right now there's no cure, so who cares if some people wish it was cured. The real damage is when we can cure death and people start saying "Overpopulation will kill us all!". We fix dogs, why not temporarily fix immortals? These aren't huge problems without solutions, it's just a few people resisting change.
Anyways, each quadrant deals with some aspect of belief, the most common group is the ones that accept change and seek out truth. The other three are less numerous but we hear more about them because we collectively think they're morons, or at least disagree with them. Then again, everyone thinks they're part of the truthful, change accepting group even when they aren't, so I could be wrong.
There's people who are deaf, blind, and mute from birth. Does their argument for their identity extend this far? What if they were paralyzed? Is there a limit where a cure is greater than the identity they have? If there is a limit, why is that the limit? Can that argument work against any disability?
And, are they arguing that giving people more senses than we currently have is bad because it would ruin our culture? Should we get rid of infrared cameras? Night vision? Radio? Technically wireless is shouting with light, should we get rid of that? If not, where is the limit? How do they classify things?
Are they arguing that we shouldn't improve ourselves at all? Are they against vaccines or any kind of medicine at all? Even natural remedies? Is there a limit? Why?
Unless they can defend each point, they just don't have a strong argument, they have an opinion. People are free to their opinions, that includes the people who are happy deaf people are able to hear for the first time. It doesn't make their opinions right, it just means they have one.