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Halfway Through 2024
a year ago
Hello!
This is a mid-year review of how the sites Furbitron monitors are projected to fare for all of 2024, and how that compares to 2023.
tl;dr:
For 2024, only e621 and e6AI are projected to have year-on-year growth, compared to 2023. All of the other sites Furbitron monitors are projected to have year-on-year declines between about 2.8% and 39%.
e621 submission ID 5,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of August. Itaku submission ID 1,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of October.
tl;dr, but as a table:
Site.......................Estimate......vs 2023
Buzzly......................12,300........-30%
FurAffinity.........4,440,000..........-2.8%
FurryNetwork........31,100.........-39%
Itaku......................303,000........-29%
SoFurry.................125,000........-16%
Weasyl..................104,000........-26%
e621......................760,000.........+5.2%
e6AI.........................52,100.....+170%
(submission estimates are rounded)
Buzzly is projected to have about 12,300 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 30% lower than the 17,600 submission IDs in 2023.
Buzzly launched in late 2021, and experienced fast growth through early 2022. However, the post rate at Buzzly dropped off a lot in mid-March 2022.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Buzzly is averaging about 39 new posts a day.
FurAffinity is projected to have about 4,440,000 submissions in 2024. This would be 2.8% lower than the 4,570,000 submissions in 2023, and would mark the fourth year ever where FA would not have year-on-year growth.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, FA is averaging about 12,300 new posts a day.
FurryNetwork is projected to have about 31,100 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 39% lower than the 50,700 submission IDs in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, FurryNetwork is averaging about 111 new posts a day.
Itaku is projected to have about 303,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 29% lower than the 429,000 submission IDs in 2023.
Itaku launched in late 2020, and Furbitron started monitoring it in August 2023. In 2021, 2022, and 2023, there were noticeable bumps in the post rate at Itaku during the year, possibly due to more people discovering the site. The post rate in 2024 has not had a similar bump so far.
If the post rate at Itaku holds steady, submission ID 1,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of October.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Itaku is averaging about 1,180 new posts a day.
SoFurry is projected to have about 125,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 16% lower than the 150,000 submissions in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, SoFurry is averaging about 366 new posts a day.
Weasyl is projected to have about 104,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 26% lower than the 141,000 submission IDs in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Weasyl is averaging about 322 new posts a day.
e621 is projected to have about 760,000 submission IDs in 2024. This is 5.2% higher than the 723,000 submission IDs in 2023, and would continue e621's history of year-on-year submission ID growth since 2009.
e621 submission ID 5,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of August.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, e621 is averaging about 2,040 new posts a day.
e6AI is projected to have about 52,100 submission IDs in 2024. This is 170% higher than the 19,000 submission IDs in 2023. 2023 was e6AI's first full year of operation.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, e6AI is averaging about 115 new posts a day.
e6AI specializes in AI-generated images. It is operated by the same people as e621, and uses the same software as e621.
Furbitron collects data and computes the statistics for e6AI daily, but does not yet display the graphs for e6AI.
The year-end projections are are linear extrapolations to 2024-12-31, based on data from 2024-01-01 to 2024-07-03. The posts-per-day numbers are from Furbitron's regular daily statistics on 2024-07-03.
The submission ID counts in this post have been rounded off. They should be within about 1% of the un-rounded counts.
The owners of the various sites can directly query their site's database, so they may publish slightly different numbers than are found here.
The numbers here come from Furbitron's monitoring of the sites listed. The historical data was mostly gathered from the sites in September 2021. e621 provides a dump of their site database, so the historical data for e621 came from that dump in September 2021. Since then, Furbitron has done "live" monitoring of each site, once a day.
Thanks!
Furbitron
furbitron.com
This is a mid-year review of how the sites Furbitron monitors are projected to fare for all of 2024, and how that compares to 2023.
tl;dr:
For 2024, only e621 and e6AI are projected to have year-on-year growth, compared to 2023. All of the other sites Furbitron monitors are projected to have year-on-year declines between about 2.8% and 39%.
e621 submission ID 5,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of August. Itaku submission ID 1,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of October.
tl;dr, but as a table:
Site.......................Estimate......vs 2023
Buzzly......................12,300........-30%
FurAffinity.........4,440,000..........-2.8%
FurryNetwork........31,100.........-39%
Itaku......................303,000........-29%
SoFurry.................125,000........-16%
Weasyl..................104,000........-26%
e621......................760,000.........+5.2%
e6AI.........................52,100.....+170%
(submission estimates are rounded)
Buzzly
Buzzly is projected to have about 12,300 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 30% lower than the 17,600 submission IDs in 2023.
Buzzly launched in late 2021, and experienced fast growth through early 2022. However, the post rate at Buzzly dropped off a lot in mid-March 2022.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Buzzly is averaging about 39 new posts a day.
FurAffinity
FurAffinity is projected to have about 4,440,000 submissions in 2024. This would be 2.8% lower than the 4,570,000 submissions in 2023, and would mark the fourth year ever where FA would not have year-on-year growth.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, FA is averaging about 12,300 new posts a day.
FurryNetwork
FurryNetwork is projected to have about 31,100 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 39% lower than the 50,700 submission IDs in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, FurryNetwork is averaging about 111 new posts a day.
Itaku
Itaku is projected to have about 303,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 29% lower than the 429,000 submission IDs in 2023.
Itaku launched in late 2020, and Furbitron started monitoring it in August 2023. In 2021, 2022, and 2023, there were noticeable bumps in the post rate at Itaku during the year, possibly due to more people discovering the site. The post rate in 2024 has not had a similar bump so far.
If the post rate at Itaku holds steady, submission ID 1,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of October.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Itaku is averaging about 1,180 new posts a day.
SoFurry
SoFurry is projected to have about 125,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 16% lower than the 150,000 submissions in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, SoFurry is averaging about 366 new posts a day.
Weasyl
Weasyl is projected to have about 104,000 submission IDs in 2024. This would be 26% lower than the 141,000 submission IDs in 2023.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, Weasyl is averaging about 322 new posts a day.
e621
e621 is projected to have about 760,000 submission IDs in 2024. This is 5.2% higher than the 723,000 submission IDs in 2023, and would continue e621's history of year-on-year submission ID growth since 2009.
e621 submission ID 5,000,000 will probably happen towards the end of August.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, e621 is averaging about 2,040 new posts a day.
e6AI
e6AI is projected to have about 52,100 submission IDs in 2024. This is 170% higher than the 19,000 submission IDs in 2023. 2023 was e6AI's first full year of operation.
From mid-2023 to mid-2024, e6AI is averaging about 115 new posts a day.
e6AI specializes in AI-generated images. It is operated by the same people as e621, and uses the same software as e621.
Furbitron collects data and computes the statistics for e6AI daily, but does not yet display the graphs for e6AI.
Notes and disclaimers
The year-end projections are are linear extrapolations to 2024-12-31, based on data from 2024-01-01 to 2024-07-03. The posts-per-day numbers are from Furbitron's regular daily statistics on 2024-07-03.
The submission ID counts in this post have been rounded off. They should be within about 1% of the un-rounded counts.
The owners of the various sites can directly query their site's database, so they may publish slightly different numbers than are found here.
The numbers here come from Furbitron's monitoring of the sites listed. The historical data was mostly gathered from the sites in September 2021. e621 provides a dump of their site database, so the historical data for e621 came from that dump in September 2021. Since then, Furbitron has done "live" monitoring of each site, once a day.
Thanks!
Furbitron
furbitron.com
